Sherwood Forest Updates
Market Commentaries are Provided for Informational Purposes Only
Sherwood Forest Bi-Weekly Report | Market Commentary
The market environment has completely changed from the volatile, trendless environment in 2011 to a low volatility trending one in the beginning of 2012. Informal research since the turn of the calendar reveals that the last three years have been the worst environment for trend followers for many years. The Managed Futures Category, which is a collection of diversified Trend Following strategies, suggests that it was the worst three year period since the inception of their index, dating back to 1994. Some will read this anecdotal evidence and suggest that Trend Following, as an investmen...
Sherwood Forest Bi-Weekly Report | Market Commentary
The market environment has completely changed from the volatile, trendless environment in 2011 to a low volatility trending one in the beginning of 2012. Informal research since the turn of the calendar reveals that the last three years have been the worst environment for trend followers for many years. The Managed Futures Category, which is a collection of diversified Trend Following strategies, suggests that it was the worst three year period since the inception of their index, dating back to 1994. Some will read this anecdotal evidence and suggest that Trend Following, as an investmen...
Market Review and Commentary, Bi-Weekly Report
We waited until today to produce our bi-weekly report so that we could have a clean look at the important month-end charts. The price action reversal in the monthly charts from the downside that occurred during the second half of 2011 is now showing signs of reversing back to the upside. During the previous cyclical bear markets of this decade, no signs of a reversal occurred, until the cyclical bear ran its course with the major averages at significantly lower levels. We do not speculate as to why this reversal occurred, but we understand that global central bank intervention may have h...
Reviewing Sherwood’s Objective, New-Year Marketing Conditions
I am more than happy to close out 2011 and am carefully monitoring the price evidence as we welcome in 2012. There are significant changes appearing as the new year rolls in. Since late Summer of 2011, I have noted the change of the primary trend to the downside for the first time since this important price trend turned up during the Q2 of 2009. Today the primary trend remains down. But there is underlying evidence that suggests that the primary trend may be at risk of changing again to the upside. I am seeing indications of a reversal in the primary trend that did not appear in the...
“The Year that the Sheriff of Nottingham Captured and beat Robin Hood”
The title of this report compliments on our theme at Sherwood Forest Capital Management, which is to bring a sophisticated investment strategy to investors of all sizes. Our strategy is a non-correlated strategy that seeks profits in both up and down markets, while controlling portfolio drawdown in volatile sideways markets. The most challenging concept of a strategy such as ours, is the non-correlation aspect. Some investors are not used to having a different performance record than the overall markets that are reported in the news each day. One must be able to remove themselves from ...
Special Report: Important Price Formation of 2011
Reviewing the 2011 time frame; It may be difficult to see on this chart, but one should notice the extreme difference of the daily price ranges in the first half of 2011, as compared to the second half. As 2011 began, we noted that the emerging markets were weakening and have continued to do so all year. It wasn’t until the dramatic decline in the July/August time frame did the domestic markets finally begin to show weakness. Since then, daily price volatility has been extreme. No directional move has been allowed to continue, before harshly reversing its direction. But now we have enough...
Financial Markets Update
While we do recognize the potential trend higher in the short term, we do not yet see the longer term primary trend change to the downside being threatened at this point. I have stated since August that the long term evidence suggested the that the July/August decline in the markets had done enough damage to the cyclical bull market to indicate a change of the primary trend to the downside. That conclusion is drawn by observing multiple indicators acting in unison. Although the RSI has recovered from its mid-line break to the downside, the price of the S&P 500 remains below a downwa...
Sherwood
- Performance for the Month of January, 2012: Path Volatility Program vs. VXX iPath S&P 500 VIX (ETF) | Path Volatility http://t.co/l01c2klQ
- Market Review | Bi-Weekly Commentary #constantcontact http://t.co/sjS3dQRc
FINRA
- FINRA Foundation and NFL Player Engagement Team Up to Assist Players Avoid Investment Fraud - http://t.co/nrn8FEOC
- FINRA Warns Investors of Email Hack Attacks - http://t.co/Gzv2mjvm
SEC Investor
- Investor Alert: SEC Warns of Government Impersonators http://t.co/qFeUOGIk
- RT @SEC_News: News release: SEC Charges China-Based Executives with Securities Fraud: FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE 2012-31 Washingto... http:/ ...




